EIA下调今明两年美国原油产量预期AV功放

据普氏能源资讯华盛顿9月12日消息，美国能源信息署（EIA）周二下调了今明两年美国原油产量预期，但仍然预期明年美国国内的原油产量将破历史最高纪录。

IEA在其短期能源市场展望报告中预计今年美国原油平均产量为925万桶/天，明年为984万桶/天。这个预测分别比上月的预测值下调了10万桶/天和7万桶/天，但是仍然垫片预计明年美国的平均原油产量将创历史新高。先前的纪录是在1970年时创下的，为960万桶/天。

EIA预计今明两年美国新增原油产量的大部分将来自于本土48州的陆地油田，日均产量将从2016年的676万桶攀升至2017年时的708万桶和2018年的758万桶。

EIA表示，美国墨西哥湾的原油产量将从2017年的169万桶/天攀升至2018年的178万桶/天，而阿拉斯加州的原油产量将从2017年的49万桶/天小幅下滑至2018年时的48万桶/天。

总体来说，美国原油产量将从本月的929万桶/天攀升至今年底的969万桶/天。明年11月份美国原油产量预计达到1002万桶/天，首次超过千万桶/天的大关。

张春晓 摘译自 普氏能源资讯

原文如下：

US crude oil output t切馅机o average 9.25 mil b/d in 2017, 9.84 mil in 2018: EIA

The US Energy Information Administration on Tuesday lowered its forecasts for US crude oil output both挤出模具 this year and next, but still expects domestic production records to be broken next year.

In its Short-Term Energy Outlook, the agency said it expects US crude output to average 9.25 million b/d in 2017 and 9.84 million b/d in 2018. Those estimates are 100,000 b/d and 70,000 b/d, respectively, lower than last month's estimate, but the expected 2018 average would mark the highest annual average production in US history, according to the EIA. The previous record dates back to 1970, when the US averaged 9.6 million b/d.

EIA expects much of the growth to take place onshore, in the Lower 48 states, where daily output will climb from 6.76 million b/d in 2016 to 7.08 million b/d in 2017 and to 7.58 million b/d in 2018.

Production in the Gulf of Mexico is forecast to climb from 1.69 million b/d in 2017 to 1.78 million b/d in 2018, while oil production in Alaska is expected to drop slightly over that time, from 490,000 b/d to 480,000 b/d, according to EIA.

Overall, US 菜籽油production is forecast to climb from 9.29 million b/d this month to 9.69 million b/d by the end of the year. Output is expected to, for the first time, cross the 10 million b/d threshold in November 2018, when it is forecast to average 10.02 million b/d.